France expected to cruise past Sweden in World Cup Round of 32 as betting odds heavily favor them
· Fox News
I'm watching the Norway and Ivory Coast World Cup game at the moment, and I started looking into the great matchups that await us with the World Cup Round of 32 tonight. We've already gotten some very good games and some big surprises in the first two days. Germany lost in penalty kicks to Paraguay, and Morocco won the same way against the Netherlands.
One of my favorite tweets that I've seen about the World Cup this season is from someone making suggestions about how to make soccer better. Someone reposted about how it is the biggest sport in the world, and you don't need to change things just to accommodate people who watch occasionally. It is an instance where both sides are correct. However, watching two penalty kick outcomes yesterday, I couldn't believe any game ever would end without them. It just makes watching the game better. Maybe we will get lucky and have some more today.
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France vs. Sweden
This is one of a handful of games this round where people already seem to think the winner is predetermined. There are a number of ways to bet on soccer -- there is the moneyline, which includes the 90 minutes, and then up to another 30 minutes of extra time. If it goes to penalty kicks, this would be a draw. The total does not include penalty kicks either. France is a -340 moneyline favorite. The draw is at +500, so that should give you a good idea of how most expect this game to go. France is a true favorite to win the World Cup, so it would be a big shock to even see this go to penalties. France should win this game 2-0 or 3-1. There is one clear play here: give me France -1.5 on the spread at -125.
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Another look here would be to play the goalscorer props. Kylian Mbappe is a heavy price to pay for him to score, but I actually think he struggles to get there here as I think Sweden will double-team him. I think his counterpart, Ousmane Dembele, will be the one scoring for France. He has four goals, just like Mbappe, and should have an easier chance to score. At +100, I think Dembele will be a good choice for an anytime goalscorer. That would not include penalty kicks in the unlikely event they happen in this game.
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Mexico vs. Ecuador
This one will be rowdy. There is a reason that home-field or home-court advantage is such a big thing in sports and betting, and Mexico will have it tonight. This game will be played in Mexico City, Mexico. This is a fairly even match, but with the home-field advantage on their side, it is hard to think Ecuador will pull off the upset. In Mexico's three games, they beat Saudi Arabia, Korea and Czechia. They haven't allowed a goal in any of their three games. Ecuador has been all over the map. They lost to the Ivory Coast, then played to a draw with Curacao and beat what ended up being a disappointing Germany team. In three games, there have been a total of four goals.
This should be a good matchup and a conservative matchup. I think the draw and penalty kicks are a likely outcome for this game. At +185, it is worth a look. You could bet both Mexico to win and a draw and get a little bit of profit. It really wouldn't be much, but risking 200 would return either 230 or 285. You would need to dodge Ecuador winning, though. I am going to officially back Mexico to win. I think they will be more aggressive, and I think they are going to have the crowd with them. Give me Mexico on the moneyline.
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For more sports betting information and plays, follow David on X/Twitter: @futureprez2024