Sunday Night Football—Best Player Props Ferguson And Corum (Week 3)
· Yahoo Sports
Terrance Ferguson should once again be heavily involved in the offense on Sunday Night Football after a stellar showing last week.
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Getty ImagesThe Denver Broncos host the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday Night Football in a matchup many might have billed as a Super Bowl preview before both teams were thumped by the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers, respectively, in Week 1.
They each rebounded with victories in Week 2. Nevertheless, barring a tie, one of them will fall to 1-2, while the other will climb to 2-1, looking to build momentum and distance itself from a misstep out of the gates.
Despite the Broncos playing at home, the Rams are 2.5-point favorites. The spread is slight, and it should be a tight game.
The Rams will likely be without superstar wide receiver Puka Nacua. He was out last week, and he’s listed as doubtful after missing practice this week.
Without Nacua, the Rams will need another pass-catching weapon to step up, and one of the ones who did last week is a good bet to do so again this week. Additionally, Los Angeles’s rushing attack could be critical to their offensive success, making the over for the rushing prop for one of the running backs in their two-headed tandem an appealing bet.
NFL Week 3: Sunday Night Football Best Player Props
- Terrance Ferguson Over 49.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at BetMGM
- Blake Corum Over 46.5 Rushing Yards (-112) at FanDuel Sportsbook
Terrance Ferguson (Los Angeles Rams - TE)
Terrance Ferguson was used in a niche role as a rookie last year. His season got off on the wrong foot in Week 1, with zero receptions on one target.
The second-year pro stepped up without Nacua last week, though. In Week 2, Ferguson had a 58.3% snap share, 66.7% route participation rate, 29.0% target share, 0.41 target per route run rate (TPRR), 24.0% first-read rate, nine targets, 17.6% air yard share, 60 air yards, 6.67-yard average depth of target (aDOT), six receptions, 54 receiving yards and 2.45 yards per route run (Y/RR).
Ferguson should be busy again this week. Patrick Surtain can shadow Davante Adams, which could nudge Matthew Stafford to sling it elsewhere. Ferguson was the only player on the Rams other than Adams with more than two targets last week.
The second-year tight end’s matchup isn’t too shabby, either. The Broncos have permitted 4.0 receptions per game, 54.5 receiving yards per game and 10.9 yards per target to tight ends this season.
Travis Kelce hung 71 receiving yards on the Broncos in Week 1. Ferguson can exceed his receiving yardage prop of 49.5 receiving yards in Week 3.
Blake Corum is first in explosive run rate among running backs with at least 100 rush attempts since last year.
Getty ImagesBlake Corum (Los Angeles Rams - RB)
The backfield for the Rams has been nearly an even split between Kyren Williams (23 rush attempts) and Blake Corum (22 rush attempts), with Ronnie Rivers getting five rush attempts in garbage time in Week 1. Both running backs have been effective.
Williams hasn’t given Sean McVay a reason to reduce his workload, while Corum has played well enough to keep a role bigger than just a change-of-pace gig.
Among 51 running backs with at least 100 rush attempts since last season, including the playoffs, Corum is tied for fourth in yards per carry (5.17), first in explosive run rate (16.9%), second in success rate (61.1%) and tied for third in stuff rate (37.3%).
Corum has averaged 45.4 rushing yards per game in 22 games since last season. However, he averaged 51.2 rushing yards per game and tallied 5.25 yards per carry in his final 12 games played last season, and he’s averaged 66.5 rushing yards per game at 6.05 yards per carry in two games this season.
Moreover, Denver has struggled against running backs this season. The Broncos have allowed 143.0 rushing yards per game and 5.40 yards per carry on 26.5 rush attempts per game to running backs this year.
Kenneth Walker steamrolled the Broncos for 173 rushing yards in Week 1, and Bhayshul Tuten gashed them for 65 rushing yards on just 13 carries in Week 2. Even in a split backfield, Corum should get enough opportunities to clear his rushing yards prop of 46.5 on Sunday Night Football.
This article was originally published on Forbes.com